02. Quantitative ML
Quantitative ML Research
Testing whether machine-learning models produce useful predictive signal beyond simple market baselines.
Relevance · Machine Learning
Emphasizes target construction, baseline selection, model comparison, out-of-sample evaluation, and failure analysis.
- Problem
- A model can produce predictions without producing meaningful predictive value.
- System
- Target definition
- Baseline
- Model
- Out-of-sample test
- Failure analysis
- Evidence
- Baseline-first evaluation (emphasized for this role)
- Explicit target construction (emphasized for this role)
- Out-of-sample testing (emphasized for this role)
- Comparison of linear and nonlinear approaches
- Emphasis on model failure as useful evidence (emphasized for this role)
- Role
- Research, Modeling, Validation